Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brooks wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brooks 46.2% vs Hertl 54.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brooks 85.7%
Defensive zone
Brooks 74.6%
Neutral zone
Brooks 82.4%
Result
Adam Brooks favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Brooks
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Brooks
Hertl
Last 5: Brooks 0-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brooks
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brooks
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Brooks
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brooks
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (76)
53.8% (8,268)
-11.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
59.3% (1,975)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.3% (806)
-13.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brooks is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Brooks shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Brooks
Hertl
Home
46.7% (30)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
38.9% (54)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Brooks
Hertl
P1
38.9%
53.6%
P2
37.0%
54.1%
P3
46.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brooks
44.0%▲
41.7%
41.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |