Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Backes 50.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Burish leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 61.1%
Defensive zone
Burish 86.5%
Neutral zone
Burish 64.3%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Burish
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Burish
Backes
Last 10: Burish 8-2 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Burish
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
9
2
Burish
Backes
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
4
0
Burish
Backes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
51.1% (5,772)
+3.5%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
50.8% (1,082)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
47.4% (930)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Burish shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Burish
Backes
Home
58.1% (578)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
50.7% (698)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Burish
Backes
P1
53.0%
50.1%
P2
53.8%
51.5%
P3
55.8%
50.8%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Jan 16, 2012 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 08:26 | Defensive | David Backes |