Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 51.7% vs Tavares 52.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.2%
Defensive zone
Burish 85.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Burish
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Burish
Tavares
Last 5: Burish 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Burish
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
0
Burish
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (85)
52.4% (1,121)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.3% (304)
-51.3%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
58.8% (17)
+3.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Burish is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Burish shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Burish
Tavares
Home
59.1% (22)
56.5% (731)
Away
51.8% (85)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Burish
Tavares
P1
52.4%
56.1%
P2
54.9%
50.3%
P3
50.0%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.3%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |