Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.4%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.8%
Defensive zone
Burish 87.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Burish
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Burish
Tavares
Last 5: Burish 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Burish
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
0
Burish
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
54.0% (16,108)
+0.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
56.5% (4,283)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
50.6% (620)
+2.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Burish
Tavares
Home
58.1% (578)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
50.7% (698)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Burish
Tavares
P1
53.0%
55.0%
P2
53.8%
54.1%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
40.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Oct 16, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |