Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Burish leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 84.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Burish
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Burish
Staal
Last 10: Burish 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burish
3
0
Burish
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
1
Burish
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
4
3
Burish
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
55.9% (14,620)
-1.3%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
62.7% (1,745)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
48.0% (2,896)
+5.0%
On power play, Staal has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Burish is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (949).
Burish shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Burish
Staal
Home
58.1% (578)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
50.7% (698)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Burish
Staal
P1
53.0%
55.2%
P2
53.8%
55.9%
P3
55.8%
54.9%
OT
40.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 11:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 07:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Adam Burish |