Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Burish wins 61.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 52.9% vs Kesler 57.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 90.3%
Defensive zone
Burish 57.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 64.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Burish
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Burish
Kesler
Last 6: Burish 6-0 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
0
Burish
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
4
0
Burish
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (331)
57.3% (1,022)
-1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
61.5% (200)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (128)
54.9% (257)
-6.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Burish is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Burish shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Burish
Kesler
Home
57.1% (233)
58.6% (766)
Away
50.0% (244)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Burish
Kesler
P1
52.9%
58.9%
P2
51.0%
56.8%
P3
56.8%
57.5%
OT
42.9%
31.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
53.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |