Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Burish leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 87.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 72.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Burish
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Burish
Kesler
Last 10: Burish 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
6
1
Burish
Kesler
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Burish
5
2
Burish
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
60.7% (1,437)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
50.5% (1,908)
+2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Burish shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Burish
Kesler
Home
58.1% (578)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
50.7% (698)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Burish
Kesler
P1
53.0%
56.5%
P2
53.8%
55.9%
P3
55.8%
56.1%
OT
40.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Burish |