Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Kesler 53.3% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.2%
Defensive zone
Burish 69.3%
Neutral zone
Burish 55.9%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Burish
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Burish
Kesler
Last 8: Burish 5-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
4
1
Burish
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Burish
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
53.8% (981)
+4.0%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
56.9% (160)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
49.2% (185)
+0.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Burish shoots right. Kesler is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Burish
Kesler
Home
60.7% (183)
54.1% (690)
Away
51.5% (206)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Burish
Kesler
P1
53.3%
52.3%
P2
56.3%
52.8%
P3
57.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
61.9%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |