Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Burish wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 53.8% vs Nichol 58.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 59.6%
Defensive zone
Burish 64.8%
Neutral zone
Burish 52.2%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Burish
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Burish
Nichol
Last 9: Burish 4-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
Burish
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Burish
2
0
Burish
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
3
Burish
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (958)
59.0% (948)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
42.9% (14)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (270)
59.5% (185)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Burish is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Burish shoots right. Nichol is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Burish
Nichol
Home
58.1% (578)
59.7% (576)
Away
50.7% (698)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Burish
Nichol
P1
53.0%
58.4%
P2
53.8%
57.3%
P3
55.8%
61.1%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
54.1%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Adam Burish |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |