Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 45.7%). Look for Cracknell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Cracknell wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 46.8% vs Hayes 46.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cracknell 62.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cracknell 61.8%
Result
Adam Cracknell favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Cracknell
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cracknell
Hayes
Last 7: Cracknell 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
4
0
Cracknell
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Cracknell
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (278)
45.4% (788)
+0.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
50.0% (56)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
45.2% (124)
-9.5%
On power play, Cracknell has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Cracknell is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Cracknell shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Hayes
Home
49.2% (130)
46.6% (459)
Away
43.0% (165)
44.8% (509)
By Period
Cracknell
Hayes
P1
44.4%
43.0%
P2
45.3%
49.5%
P3
49.2%
44.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |