Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Cracknell wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 41.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cracknell 70.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 94.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Cracknell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cracknell
Dowd
Last 8: Cracknell 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Cracknell
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cracknell
4
1
Cracknell
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (863)
52.4% (6,009)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
56.1% (164)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (46)
44.1% (1,635)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cracknell is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Cracknell shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Dowd
Home
42.1% (406)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
39.5% (519)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Cracknell
Dowd
P1
39.0%
51.7%
P2
40.8%
50.4%
P3
43.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
40.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |