Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cracknell wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 46.8% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 85.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 90.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 75.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Cracknell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cracknell
O'Reilly
Last 6: Cracknell 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cracknell
3
1
Cracknell
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (278)
57.9% (1,179)
-11.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
63.0% (292)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
53.8% (320)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cracknell is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Cracknell shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Cracknell
O'Reilly
Home
49.2% (130)
61.3% (884)
Away
43.0% (165)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Cracknell
O'Reilly
P1
44.4%
55.5%
P2
45.3%
61.0%
P3
49.2%
56.8%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |