Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cracknell wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 46.8% vs Hertl 51.4% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.6%
Neutral zone
Cracknell 62.8%
Result
Adam Cracknell favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Cracknell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Cracknell
Hertl
Last 6: Cracknell 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cracknell
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Cracknell
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cracknell
2
1
Cracknell
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (278)
50.4% (367)
-4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.6% (48)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
49.2% (59)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cracknell is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Cracknell shoots right. Hertl is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Hertl
Home
49.2% (130)
50.9% (220)
Away
43.0% (165)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Cracknell
Hertl
P1
44.4%
52.7%
P2
45.3%
52.8%
P3
49.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 20, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |