Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 50.9% vs Brassard 50.9% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Erne 54.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 60.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Erne
Brassard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (58)
50.9% (287)
+2.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
53.8% (39)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Erne has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Erne is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Erne shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Erne
Brassard
Home
51.2% (41)
52.1% (211)
Away
54.2% (24)
49.6% (119)
By Period
Erne
Brassard
P1
60.0%
47.3%
P2
38.1%
56.6%
P3
57.1%
47.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%