Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 50.9% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Erne 53.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Erne
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (58)
49.8% (309)
+3.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
64.5% (31)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Erne has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Erne is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Erne shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Erne
Kotkaniemi
Home
51.2% (41)
51.7% (203)
Away
54.2% (24)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Erne
Kotkaniemi
P1
60.0%
49.5%
P2
38.1%
50.4%
P3
57.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%