Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Erne wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.3% vs Perreault 50.8% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Erne 52.7%
Defensive zone
Perreault 54.3%
Neutral zone
Perreault 53.5%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Erne
Perreault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (179)
50.7% (2,465)
+2.4%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
52.2% (454)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
44.0% (25)
+9.8%
On power play, Perreault has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Erne is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Erne shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Home / Away
Erne
Perreault
Home
57.8% (109)
52.1% (1,474)
Away
45.5% (99)
49.6% (1,482)
By Period
Erne
Perreault
P1
59.0%
52.4%
P2
48.6%
48.6%
P3
45.3%
51.8%
OT
50.0%
43.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
51.9%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%