Scouting Report
Adam Erne holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Erne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Erne wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 52.2% vs Hintz 49.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Erne 51.9%
Defensive zone
Hintz 54.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.7%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Erne
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Erne
Hintz
Last 5: Erne 4-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Erne
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erne
3
0
Erne
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (28)
47.8% (383)
+12.9%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.8% (43)
-5.8%
On even strength, Erne has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Erne is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Erne shoots left. Hintz is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Erne
Hintz
Home
55.6% (18)
51.6% (248)
Away
62.5% (16)
46.6% (221)
By Period
Erne
Hintz
P1
57.1%
49.3%
P2
53.8%
53.2%
P3
66.7%
44.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
44.0%▼
51.5%
58.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Adam Erne |