Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Erne on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Erne wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Erne 51.6% vs Hintz 53.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hintz 76.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 75.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Erne
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Erne
Hintz
Last 5: Erne 4-1 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Erne
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Erne
3
0
Erne
Hintz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Erne
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (177)
53.8% (3,706)
-0.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
54.8% (555)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
52.9% (221)
+0.9%
On power play, Hintz has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Erne is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Erne shoots left. Hintz is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,764).
Home / Away
Erne
Hintz
Home
58.9% (107)
54.8% (2,289)
Away
45.5% (99)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Erne
Hintz
P1
59.0%
55.4%
P2
48.6%
53.8%
P3
47.1%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Erne
46.0%▼
52.5%
52.4%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Adam Erne |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Adam Erne |