Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Lowry 53.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Fantilli
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Fantilli
Lowry
Last 10: Fantilli 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
1
Fantilli
Lowry
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Fantilli
Lowry
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
0
Fantilli
Lowry
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
55.4% (675)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
83.3% (6)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
40.4% (89)
+14.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Lowry
Home
50.8% (472)
54.5% (402)
Away
49.2% (480)
53.3% (368)
By Period
Fantilli
Lowry
P1
47.8%
52.4%
P2
52.7%
56.0%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
OT
30.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |