Adam Fantilli vs Casey Mittelstadt
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 50.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
44.7% (886)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
40.2% (112)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
40.0% (5)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
Home
44.1% (488)
46.0% (491)
Away
38.6% (531)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Fantilli
Mittelstadt
P1
42.0%
44.0%
P2
43.0%
46.4%
P3
39.3%
41.9%
OT
11.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |