Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kreider shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Kreider 45.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 59.6%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 75.7%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 61.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Fantilli
Kreider
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Kreider
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
0
1
Fantilli
Kreider
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kreider
0
1
Fantilli
Kreider
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kreider
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
37.3% (59)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
75.0% (4)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
40.0% (5)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Kreider has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kreider shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Kreider is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kreider
Home
44.1% (488)
42.9% (35)
Away
38.6% (531)
36.4% (33)
By Period
Fantilli
Kreider
P1
42.0%
41.4%
P2
43.0%
37.9%
P3
39.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
41.2%
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |