Adam Fantilli vs Christian Dvorak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Dvorak 52.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 70.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.6%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 55.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Fantilli
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Fantilli
Dvorak
Last 6: Fantilli 3-3 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
3
Fantilli
Dvorak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
53.7% (762)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
54.0% (124)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
47.6% (82)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Dvorak
Home
50.8% (472)
53.6% (461)
Away
49.2% (480)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Fantilli
Dvorak
P1
47.8%
54.1%
P2
52.7%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
53.8%
OT
30.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |