Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Malkin 46.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 73.9%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 69.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 78.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Fantilli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Fantilli
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
45.7% (219)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
34.6% (26)
+17.9%
On power play, Fantilli has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Malkin
Home
50.8% (472)
50.4% (113)
Away
49.2% (480)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Fantilli
Malkin
P1
47.8%
47.7%
P2
52.7%
44.9%
P3
50.0%
40.0%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |