Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Malkin 46.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 60.4%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 62.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 64.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Fantilli
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Fantilli
Malkin
Last 8: Fantilli 2-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Fantilli
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
4
Fantilli
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
45.5% (602)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.0% (30)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
100.0% (1)
-83.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +83.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Malkin
Home
44.1% (488)
47.5% (326)
Away
38.6% (531)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Fantilli
Malkin
P1
42.0%
49.3%
P2
43.0%
44.7%
P3
39.3%
42.3%
OT
11.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |