Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Drury 56.9% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 86.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 79.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 90.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Fantilli
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Fantilli
Drury
Last 8: Fantilli 1-7 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Fantilli
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
4
Fantilli
Drury
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Fantilli
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
57.9% (592)
-17.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
67.4% (46)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
52.8% (108)
-36.1%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +36.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Drury
Home
44.1% (488)
59.3% (364)
Away
38.6% (531)
56.3% (382)
By Period
Fantilli
Drury
P1
42.0%
53.9%
P2
43.0%
60.5%
P3
39.3%
58.3%
OT
11.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Jack Drury |