Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Eichel 48.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 77.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 57.3%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 63.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Fantilli
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Fantilli
Eichel
Last 8: Fantilli 6-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
47.7% (858)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
55.6% (63)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
44.8% (87)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eichel
Home
50.8% (472)
47.7% (509)
Away
49.2% (480)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Fantilli
Eichel
P1
47.8%
49.5%
P2
52.7%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
46.8%
OT
30.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |