Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.1%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Eichel 45.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 72.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Fantilli
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Fantilli
Eichel
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
0
Fantilli
Eichel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
6
Fantilli
Eichel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
2
Fantilli
Eichel
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
44.7% (8,462)
+0.0%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
52.8% (925)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
38.3% (540)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Eichel
Home
47.3% (1,178)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Fantilli
Eichel
P1
44.0%
45.4%
P2
46.2%
45.8%
P3
45.9%
44.2%
OT
24.1%
44.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |