Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Veleno 51.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 78.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 66.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 58.2%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Fantilli
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Fantilli
Veleno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
52.9% (272)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.9% (29)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Veleno is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Veleno
Home
50.8% (472)
49.6% (123)
Away
49.2% (480)
52.8% (178)
By Period
Fantilli
Veleno
P1
47.8%
54.8%
P2
52.7%
49.2%
P3
50.0%
52.6%
OT
30.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |