Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs MacLean 48.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 84.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 71.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 75.4%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Fantilli
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Fantilli
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
3
Fantilli
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
47.6% (540)
-6.9%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
66.7% (3)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
60.9% (23)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Fantilli
MacLean
Home
44.1% (488)
47.6% (273)
Away
38.6% (531)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Fantilli
MacLean
P1
42.0%
45.5%
P2
43.0%
48.8%
P3
39.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%