Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 54.2%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 58.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 56.7%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Last 5: Fantilli 2-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Fantilli
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Fantilli
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
53.7% (923)
-13.0%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
56.1% (244)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
58.6% (29)
-41.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Draisaitl
Home
44.1% (488)
55.2% (636)
Away
38.6% (531)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Fantilli
Draisaitl
P1
42.0%
50.8%
P2
43.0%
56.6%
P3
39.3%
54.0%
OT
11.1%
67.9%
Final 5 min
38.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |