Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 46.1%). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Erat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Erat 46.8% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Erat 52.8%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 56.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Fantilli
Erat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Erat
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
46.7% (321)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
45.5% (101)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
41.4% (29)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Erat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Erat shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Erat is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Erat
Home
47.3% (1,178)
53.2% (252)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
37.2% (199)
By Period
Fantilli
Erat
P1
44.0%
43.4%
P2
46.2%
45.8%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
24.1%
16.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Erat
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.1%