Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs McTavish 51.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 67.1%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 57.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Fantilli
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Fantilli
McTavish
Last 8: Fantilli 3-5 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Fantilli
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Fantilli
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
McTavish
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
51.3% (725)
-8.0%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
55.8% (113)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, McTavish has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Fantilli is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Fantilli shoots left. McTavish is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McTavish
Home
46.8% (218)
52.0% (454)
Away
39.7% (174)
51.4% (391)
By Period
Fantilli
McTavish
P1
40.3%
51.3%
P2
38.1%
50.4%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |