Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Zibanejad 51.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 71.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 51.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Fantilli
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
53.8% (591)
-3.8%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
47.4% (38)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
43.6% (117)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Fantilli is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Fantilli shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Home
53.0% (334)
48.2% (307)
Away
48.7% (372)
54.4% (439)
By Period
Fantilli
Zibanejad
P1
48.7%
54.0%
P2
53.9%
51.0%
P3
49.8%
50.6%
OT
28.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |