Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 65.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.6%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Fantilli
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
50.9% (913)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
59.0% (39)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
37.5% (160)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Zibanejad
Home
46.8% (218)
51.1% (536)
Away
39.7% (174)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Fantilli
Zibanejad
P1
40.3%
50.1%
P2
38.1%
47.3%
P3
54.1%
50.7%
OT
30.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | OT | 01:40 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |