Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Walker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Walker 51.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 52.8%
Defensive zone
Walker 74.9%
Neutral zone
Walker 69.8%
Result
Nathan Walker favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Fantilli
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fantilli
Walker
Last 5: Fantilli 3-2 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Walker
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Walker
0
1
Fantilli
Walker
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Walker
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.9% (138)
-12.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
50.0% (4)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
50.0% (14)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Walker has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Walker is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Walker
Home
44.1% (488)
48.8% (84)
Away
38.6% (531)
56.9% (72)
By Period
Fantilli
Walker
P1
42.0%
54.3%
P2
43.0%
51.7%
P3
39.3%
52.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Nathan Walker |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |