Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs McLeod 47.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 88.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 70.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 61.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Fantilli
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fantilli
McLeod
Last 5: Fantilli 4-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Fantilli
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
49.2% (796)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
44.8% (87)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.3% (263)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McLeod
Home
50.8% (472)
49.2% (575)
Away
49.2% (480)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Fantilli
McLeod
P1
47.8%
52.8%
P2
52.7%
45.1%
P3
50.0%
45.6%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |