Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs McLeod 52.1% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 73.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 97.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 94.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Fantilli
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Fantilli
McLeod
Last 10: Fantilli 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
8
0
Fantilli
McLeod
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Fantilli
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
5
2
Fantilli
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
52.9% (904)
-12.2%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
57.6% (59)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
49.0% (241)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McLeod
Home
44.1% (488)
51.8% (612)
Away
38.6% (531)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Fantilli
McLeod
P1
42.0%
55.4%
P2
43.0%
50.8%
P3
39.3%
51.6%
OT
11.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |