Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 51.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 54.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 50.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Fantilli
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,930)
45.4% (4,699)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.4% (163)
51.5% (928)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (24)
35.0% (226)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Fantilli is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (705).
Fantilli shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gagner
Home
47.5% (1,040)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
42.2% (1,077)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Fantilli
Gagner
P1
43.9%
44.6%
P2
45.9%
46.1%
P3
45.4%
47.3%
OT
23.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
44.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%