Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 45.9%). Fantilli wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.4%
Defensive zone
Gagner 55.0%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.1%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Fantilli
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
51.5% (928)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
35.0% (226)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Fantilli is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (794).
Fantilli shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gagner
Home
47.3% (1,178)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Fantilli
Gagner
P1
44.0%
44.6%
P2
46.2%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
47.3%
OT
24.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%