Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Gagner 52.4% (-18.9%)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 58.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 53.9%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 51.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Fantilli
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
76.5% (17)
-33.2%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On even strength, Gagner has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Gagner
Home
46.8% (218)
75.0% (16)
Away
39.7% (174)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Fantilli
Gagner
P1
40.3%
25.0%
P2
38.1%
64.3%
P3
54.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
38.9%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%