Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Aho 50.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 58.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 53.1%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.9%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Fantilli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
49.9% (851)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
53.5% (144)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.3% (60)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Aho
Home
50.8% (472)
53.2% (554)
Away
49.2% (480)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Fantilli
Aho
P1
47.8%
49.1%
P2
52.7%
50.8%
P3
50.0%
49.7%
OT
30.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |