Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.6% vs Aho 50.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 53.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 50.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.6%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Fantilli
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Fantilli
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (638)
50.5% (647)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
54.2% (131)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
38.1% (42)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Fantilli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (465).
Fantilli shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Aho
Home
53.0% (334)
53.9% (445)
Away
48.7% (372)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Fantilli
Aho
P1
48.7%
48.7%
P2
53.9%
51.4%
P3
49.8%
50.8%
OT
28.6%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |