Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.8%). Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Pinto 50.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 78.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 83.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 57.8%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Fantilli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Fantilli
Pinto
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
1
Fantilli
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Fantilli
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
3
Fantilli
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
50.2% (520)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
68.0% (25)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
49.4% (89)
+5.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pinto
Home
50.8% (472)
48.8% (301)
Away
49.2% (480)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Fantilli
Pinto
P1
47.8%
51.2%
P2
52.7%
48.9%
P3
50.0%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 11:32 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |