Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Pinto 50.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 92.6%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 65.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 76.5%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Fantilli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Fantilli
Pinto
Last 7: Fantilli 0-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
4
Fantilli
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Fantilli
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
50.4% (779)
-9.7%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
55.2% (29)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
44.9% (78)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Pinto
Home
44.1% (488)
52.4% (454)
Away
38.6% (531)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Fantilli
Pinto
P1
42.0%
48.1%
P2
43.0%
52.9%
P3
39.3%
49.3%
OT
11.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |