Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.5% vs Lowry 57.0% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 80.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 58.4%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Gaudette
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudette
Lowry
Last 6: Gaudette 2-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Lowry
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
2
Gaudette
Lowry
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
2
Gaudette
Lowry
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
39.9% (343)
58.6% (843)
-18.7%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
65.0% (20)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.8% (253)
-3.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Gaudette is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Gaudette shoots right. Lowry is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lowry
Home
39.1% (225)
61.0% (602)
Away
42.5% (146)
53.7% (514)
By Period
Gaudette
Lowry
P1
45.0%
57.3%
P2
42.6%
58.1%
P3
34.6%
57.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
40.4%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |