Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 50.2% vs Lowry 51.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Gaudette leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 71.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 83.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 60.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Gaudette
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Gaudette
Lowry
Last 10: Gaudette 6-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Lowry
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
2
Gaudette
Lowry
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Lowry
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (338)
53.7% (933)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.7% (28)
-2.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Gaudette is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Gaudette shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lowry
Home
54.4% (206)
53.0% (583)
Away
44.4% (144)
50.6% (605)
By Period
Gaudette
Lowry
P1
49.2%
52.1%
P2
50.4%
51.8%
P3
51.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |