Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Gaudette wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.0% vs Lowry 50.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 84.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 60.2%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Gaudette
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Gaudette
Lowry
Last 10: Gaudette 3-7 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
5
1
Gaudette
Lowry
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
8
Gaudette
Lowry
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (94)
51.4% (523)
-11.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
56.7% (30)
-6.7%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Gaudette is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Gaudette shoots right. Lowry is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lowry
Home
42.6% (61)
50.3% (354)
Away
42.9% (63)
50.7% (361)
By Period
Gaudette
Lowry
P1
41.0%
48.5%
P2
45.7%
52.2%
P3
41.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.7%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |