Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Newhook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Newhook 42.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 56.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 60.9%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Gaudette
Newhook
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudette
Newhook
Last 8: Gaudette 5-3 Newhook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
2
Gaudette
Newhook
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Newhook
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Newhook
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Newhook
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
41.5% (1,922)
+2.2%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
43.8% (208)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
47.1% (17)
-0.4%
On power play, Gaudette has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Newhook shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Newhook
Home
45.9% (912)
41.6% (1,061)
Away
41.9% (754)
42.0% (1,086)
By Period
Gaudette
Newhook
P1
44.4%
39.9%
P2
46.5%
41.9%
P3
41.1%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |