Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 47.3% vs Lizotte 51.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 80.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.6%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 58.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Gaudette
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudette
Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Lizotte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
2
Gaudette
Lizotte
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (128)
54.5% (279)
-12.3%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Gaudette is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Gaudette shoots right. Lizotte is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lizotte
Home
43.3% (67)
45.1% (182)
Away
47.3% (93)
58.8% (199)
By Period
Gaudette
Lizotte
P1
43.9%
51.9%
P2
48.1%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
34.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
45.6%
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |