Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lizotte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Lizotte 50.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Lizotte leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudette 84.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 62.9%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Gaudette
Lizotte
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Gaudette
Lizotte
Last 10: Gaudette 5-5 Lizotte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
5
1
Gaudette
Lizotte
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
4
Gaudette
Lizotte
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
0
3
Gaudette
Lizotte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Lizotte
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
51.6% (3,068)
-7.9%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
48.1% (81)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
42.3% (437)
+4.4%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lizotte shoots left. Gaudette is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,185).
Gaudette shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Lizotte
Home
45.9% (912)
49.5% (1,840)
Away
41.9% (754)
51.4% (1,746)
By Period
Gaudette
Lizotte
P1
44.4%
48.0%
P2
46.5%
52.3%
P3
41.1%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |