Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Coyle 47.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 59.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 72.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Gaudette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudette
Coyle
Last 5: Gaudette 4-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
46.6% (562)
-5.6%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
50.7% (69)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
42.6% (68)
+0.3%
On power play, Coyle has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Gaudette is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Gaudette shoots right. Coyle is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Coyle
Home
46.0% (250)
44.3% (332)
Away
35.3% (204)
48.8% (367)
By Period
Gaudette
Coyle
P1
40.8%
47.5%
P2
42.8%
47.5%
P3
39.7%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |