Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.5% vs Coyle 48.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 67.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 91.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 80.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Gaudette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Coyle
Last 6: Gaudette 5-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (1,468)
49.4% (7,856)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
50.0% (792)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
43.6% (1,090)
+3.1%
On even strength, Coyle has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Gaudette is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Gaudette shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Coyle
Home
45.9% (912)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
41.9% (754)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Gaudette
Coyle
P1
44.4%
49.4%
P2
46.5%
48.3%
P3
41.1%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |