Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 44.1% vs Coyle 48.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 72.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 93.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 85.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Gaudette
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gaudette
Coyle
Last 6: Gaudette 5-1 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
0
Gaudette
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudette
2
1
Gaudette
Coyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,410)
49.3% (7,657)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.5% (183)
50.0% (778)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.8% (1,055)
+0.6%
On even strength, Coyle has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Gaudette is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Gaudette shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Coyle
Home
45.5% (888)
49.7% (4,692)
Away
41.6% (714)
47.9% (4,798)
By Period
Gaudette
Coyle
P1
44.2%
49.5%
P2
45.9%
48.2%
P3
40.8%
48.6%
OT
100.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
44.0%▼
45.5%
43.8%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:06 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |